Tigers at Blue Jays
Last play · Ernie Clement grounds out, pitcher Tyler Holton to first baseman Gio Urshela.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
DET 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 3 – 0 TOR
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (15) on a line drive to left field. Spencer Horwitz scores. (inning 6) — +28% Blue Jays
8George Springer homers (11) on a fly ball to left field. Kevin Kiermaier scores.5–4
7Wenceel Pérez homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Gio Urshela scores.5–2
6Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (15) on a line drive to left field. Spencer Horwitz scores.3–2
4Mark Canha homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Riley Greene scores.3–0
4Riley Greene singles on a ground ball to right fielder George Springer. Matt Vierling scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














