Tigers at Blue Jays
Last play · Danny Jansen flies out to left fielder Ryan Vilade.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
DET 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 1 – 0 TOR
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake Rogers hits a grand slam (7) to left field. Matt Vierling scores. Mark Canha scores. Wenceel Pérez scores. (inning 6) — -31% Tigers
6Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (16) on a fly ball to center field. Spencer Horwitz scores.7–3
6George Springer singles on a line drive to left fielder Ryan Vilade. Kevin Kiermaier scores.7–1
6Mark Canha grounds out, shortstop Leo Jiménez to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.7–0
6Andy Ibáñez singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Daulton Varsho. Javier Báez scores. Gio Urshela to 2nd.6–0
6Jake Rogers hits a grand slam (7) to left field. Matt Vierling scores. Mark Canha scores. Wenceel Pérez scores.5–0
5Andy Ibáñez doubles (7) on a ground ball to left fielder Daulton Varsho. Ryan Vilade scores. Andy Ibáñez to 3rd. Andy Ibáñez advances to 3rd, on a fielding error by left fielder Daulton Varsho.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














