Rangers at Blue Jays
Last play · Jonah Heim flies out to center fielder Daulton Varsho.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
TEX 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 3 – 5 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 49.5% · hold 5.9%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Daulton Varsho homers (12) on a fly ball to left field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Justin Turner scores. (inning 1) — +31% Blue Jays
8Daulton Varsho out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Adolis García. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Addison Barger to 3rd.3–7
6Spencer Horwitz out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Steward Berroa scores.3–6
5Alejandro Kirk singles on a line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Justin Turner to 2nd.3–5
3Adolis García singles on a sharp ground ball to second baseman Davis Schneider. Wyatt Langford scores.3–4
3Wyatt Langford doubles (15) on a sharp line drive to right fielder George Springer. Marcus Semien scores.2–4
1Ernie Clement singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras. Alejandro Kirk scores. Davis Schneider to 3rd.1–4
1Daulton Varsho homers (12) on a fly ball to left field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Justin Turner scores.1–3
1Corey Seager singles on a ground ball to third baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














