Rays at Blue Jays
Last play · Daulton Varsho flies out to left fielder Richie Palacios.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
TB 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 3 – 0 TOR
Rays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Lowe homers (12) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 1) — -12% Rays
9Josh Lowe grounds into a force out, first baseman Spencer Horwitz to shortstop Leo Jiménez. Brandon Lowe scores. Curtis Mead out at 2nd. Josh Lowe to 1st.13–0
7Josh Lowe singles on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Isaac Paredes scores. Brandon Lowe to 2nd.12–0
7Randy Arozarena out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Davis Schneider. Richie Palacios scores.11–0
7Brandon Lowe singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder George Springer. Alex Jackson scores. Richie Palacios to 3rd. Isaac Paredes to 2nd.10–0
7Isaac Paredes walks. Taylor Walls scores. Alex Jackson to 3rd. Richie Palacios to 2nd.9–0
7Alex Jackson doubles (5) on a fly ball to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Amed Rosario scores. Taylor Walls to 3rd.8–0
6Isaac Paredes singles on a ground ball to left fielder Davis Schneider. Jonny DeLuca scores. Alex Jackson scores.7–0
6Alex Jackson singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Amed Rosario scores. Taylor Walls scores. Jonny DeLuca to 2nd.5–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














