Rays at Blue Jays
Last play · Alejandro Kirk flies out sharply to right fielder Josh Lowe.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
TB 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 3 – 0 TOR
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Lowe homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Richie Palacios scores. (inning 5) — -20% Rays
7Isaac Paredes grounds into a double play, second baseman Spencer Horwitz to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to shortstop Leo Jiménez. Taylor Walls scores. Richie Palacios out at 2nd. Isaac Paredes out at 1st.4–2
6Justin Turner homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.3–2
6Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (17) on a line drive to center field.3–1
5Brandon Lowe homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Richie Palacios scores.3–0
2Josh Lowe singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder George Springer. Randy Arozarena scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














