Orioles at Blue Jays
Last play · Ernie Clement flies out to center fielder Colton Cowser.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
BAL 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 2 – 3 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jackson Holliday homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Eloy Jiménez scores. (inning 7) — -40% Orioles
8Eloy Jiménez doubles (11) on a line drive to right fielder George Springer. Austin Slater scores. Adley Rutschman scores.7–3
8Anthony Santander homers (34) on a fly ball to left center field.5–3
7Jackson Holliday homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Eloy Jiménez scores.4–3
2Ernie Clement reaches on a throwing error by third baseman Coby Mayo. Brian Serven scores.2–3
2Brian Serven singles on a line drive to second baseman Jackson Holliday. Leo Jiménez scores.2–2
1Spencer Horwitz out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Ryan O'Hearn. Ernie Clement scores.2–1
1Anthony Santander homers (33) on a fly ball to right center field. Colton Cowser scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
