Rangers at Blue Jays
Last play · Corey Seager pops out to shortstop Leo Jiménez.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
TEX 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 0 – 6 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Daulton Varsho homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field. Ernie Clement scores. (inning 1) — +16% Blue Jays
8Josh Smith homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Corey Seager scores.3–7
6Leo Jiménez out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Robbie Grossman. Alejandro Kirk scores.1–7
6Nathaniel Lowe singles on a fly ball to left fielder Daulton Varsho. Wyatt Langford scores.1–6
3Addison Barger doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras. Justin Turner scores. Daulton Varsho scores.0–6
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (19) on a fly ball to right center field.0–4
1Daulton Varsho homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field. Ernie Clement scores.0–3
1Vladimir Guerrero Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Spencer Horwitz scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














