Orioles at Blue Jays
Last play · Adley Rutschman lines out to center fielder Daulton Varsho.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
BAL 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 0 – 0 TOR
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +125
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alejandro Kirk homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Spencer Horwitz scores. (inning 6) — +46% Blue Jays
8Austin Slater walks. Adley Rutschman scores. Ryan Mountcastle to 3rd. Eloy Jiménez to 2nd.2–5
6Addison Barger doubles (6) on a line drive to left fielder Ryan O'Hearn. Daulton Varsho scores. Ernie Clement scores.1–5
6Alejandro Kirk homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Spencer Horwitz scores.1–3
6Jackson Holliday homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
