Orioles at Blue Jays
BAL6–
TOR7Last play · Anthony Santander flies out to center fielder Daulton Varsho.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
BAL 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 2 – 5 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Colton Cowser homers (17) on a fly ball to left field. Ramón Urías scores. (inning 3) — -19% Orioles
9Colton Cowser singles on a ground ball to right fielder Addison Barger, deflected by second baseman Spencer Horwitz. Jackson Holliday scores. Cedric Mullins scores.6–7
9Cedric Mullins doubles (14) on a line drive to left fielder Joey Loperfido. Ryan Mountcastle scores. Jackson Holliday to 3rd.4–7
9Jackson Holliday grounds into a force out, fielded by third baseman Ernie Clement. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Adley Rutschman out at 3rd. Ryan Mountcastle to 2nd. Jackson Holliday to 1st.3–7
6Vladimir Guerrero Jr. triples (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Ryan O'Hearn. Daulton Varsho scores.2–7
6Daulton Varsho singles on a sharp ground ball to second baseman Jackson Holliday, deflected by first baseman Ryan Mountcastle. Leo Jiménez scores.2–6
5Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (23) on a fly ball to right center field. Daulton Varsho scores.2–5
3Colton Cowser homers (17) on a fly ball to left field. Ramón Urías scores.2–3
1Alejandro Kirk singles on a line drive to left fielder Colton Cowser. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.