Reds at Blue Jays
Last play · George Springer grounds out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Spencer Steer.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
CIN 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 2 – 2 TOR
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ty France doubles (18) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. TJ Friedl scores. Spencer Steer scores. (inning 6) — -24% Reds
9Ernie Clement homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field.6–3
6Jake Fraley doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Ty France scores.6–2
6Ty France doubles (18) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. TJ Friedl scores. Spencer Steer scores.5–2
6Spencer Steer doubles (28) on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Tyler Stephenson scores. TJ Friedl to 3rd.3–2
4TJ Friedl homers (10) on a fly ball to right field.2–2
3Daulton Varsho singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jake Fraley. George Springer scores.1–2
3Elly De La Cruz out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Joey Loperfido. Santiago Espinal scores.1–1
1Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (26) on a fly ball to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
