Reds at Blue Jays
Last play · Addison Barger lines out to center fielder TJ Friedl.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
CIN 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 7 – 6 TOR
Reds led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 43.7% · hold 6.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Noelvi Marte homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 6) — -23% Reds
9Leo Jiménez doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Will Benson. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.11–7
8Elly De La Cruz homers (22) on a fly ball to left field.11–6
6Tyler Stephenson doubles (21) on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Davis Schneider. Elly De La Cruz scores.10–6
6Jonathan India homers (12) on a fly ball to left field.9–6
6Noelvi Marte homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.8–6
5Santiago Espinal walks. Tyler Stephenson scores. Spencer Steer to 3rd. Ty France to 2nd.7–6
5Tyler Stephenson reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Ernie Clement. Elly De La Cruz scores.6–6
5Elly De La Cruz singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Noelvi Marte scores. Jonathan India scores.5–6
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
