Blue Jays at Nationals
Last play · Joey Meneses lines out sharply to left fielder Daulton Varsho.
Win probability
Nationals0%
TOR 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 4 – 0 WSH
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +130
Nationals favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Daniel Vogelbach reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Trey Lipscomb. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Justin Turner scores. Bo Bichette to 3rd. Throwing error by first baseman Trey Lipscomb. (inning 1) — -16% Blue Jays
9Luis García Jr. singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder George Springer. Trey Lipscomb scores. CJ Abrams to 2nd.6–3
8Kevin Kiermaier homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Danny Jansen scores.6–2
7Nick Senzel singles on a line drive to center fielder Kevin Kiermaier. Alex Call scores. Trey Lipscomb to 2nd.4–2
7CJ Abrams out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Kevin Kiermaier. Eddie Rosario scores.4–1
1Danny Jansen doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Alex Call. Bo Bichette scores. Daniel Vogelbach to 3rd.4–0
1Daniel Vogelbach reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Trey Lipscomb. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Justin Turner scores. Bo Bichette to 3rd. Throwing error by first baseman Trey Lipscomb.3–0
1Justin Turner singles on a line drive to center fielder Alex Call. George Springer scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








