Blue Jays at Nationals
TOR8–
WSH11Last play · Isiah Kiner-Falefa grounds out, shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Joey Meneses.
Win probability
Nationals100%
TOR 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 8 – 7 WSH
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Nationals favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a grand slam (4) to left field. Alejandro Kirk scores. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Ernie Clement scores. (inning 2) — -40% Blue Jays
8Joey Meneses out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Daulton Varsho. CJ Abrams scores. Ildemaro Vargas to 3rd. Jesse Winker to 2nd.8–11
7Eddie Rosario homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Jesse Winker scores.8–10
6Luis García Jr. singles on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Jacob Young scores. Luis García Jr. out at 2nd on the throw, center fielder Daulton Varsho to second baseman Isiah Kiner-Falefa.8–8
5Ernie Clement reaches on a fielding error by shortstop CJ Abrams. Daulton Varsho scores.8–7
5Isiah Kiner-Falefa out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Eddie Rosario. Davis Schneider scores. Daulton Varsho to 3rd.7–7
4Jesse Winker homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. Luis García Jr. scores. Nick Senzel scores.6–7
4Luis García Jr. singles on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Eddie Rosario scores. Jacob Young scores.6–4
3Luis García Jr. homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.6–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.