Twins at Nationals
Last play · Luis García Jr. flies out to left fielder Manuel Margot.
Win probability
Nationals0%
MIN 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 6 – 0 WSH
Twins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-175 / +150
Nationals favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Byron Buxton homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 2) — -20% Twins
7Willi Castro homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. Max Kepler scores.10–0
6Manuel Margot grounds out, second baseman Luis García Jr. to first baseman Joey Gallo.8–0
6Carlos Santana doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jesse Winker. Kyle Farmer scores.7–0
5Byron Buxton homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Carlos Correa scores.6–0
3Jose Miranda homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Manuel Margot scores.4–0
2Carlos Santana grounds into a double play, shortstop CJ Abrams to second baseman Luis García Jr. to first baseman Joey Gallo. Willi Castro scores. Kyle Farmer out at 2nd. Carlos Santana out at 1st.2–0
2Byron Buxton homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
