Orioles at Nationals
Last play · Ryan Mountcastle grounds out, shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Joey Meneses.
Win probability
Nationals100%
BAL 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 0 – 1 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-220 / +185
Nationals favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Joey Meneses singles on a line drive to right fielder Anthony Santander. Jesse Winker scores. (inning 2) — +10% Nationals
7Trey Lipscomb singles on a line drive to right fielder Anthony Santander. Eddie Rosario scores.0–3
7Eddie Rosario singles on a line drive to left fielder Colton Cowser. Joey Meneses scores.0–2
2Joey Meneses singles on a line drive to right fielder Anthony Santander. Jesse Winker scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








