Orioles at Nationals
Last play · Joey Meneses flies out to right fielder Ryan McKenna.
Win probability
Nationals0%
BAL 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 1 – 1 WSH
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-170 / +145
Nationals favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ryan Mountcastle homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field. Gunnar Henderson scores. (inning 11) — -44% Orioles
12Luis García Jr. doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Ryan McKenna. CJ Abrams scores.7–6
12Colton Cowser flies out to center fielder Jacob Young.7–5
12Jorge Mateo singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jesse Winker. Jordan Westburg scores. Jorge Mateo advances to 3rd, on a fielding error by third baseman Ildemaro Vargas.6–5
11Jacob Young out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Ryan McKenna. Eddie Rosario scores. Ildemaro Vargas to 3rd.5–5
11Ildemaro Vargas hits a ground-rule double (8) on a line drive down the left-field line. Joey Meneses scores. Eddie Rosario to 3rd.5–4
11Ryan Mountcastle homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field. Gunnar Henderson scores.5–3
9CJ Abrams singles on a line drive to right fielder Anthony Santander. Nasim Nuñez scores. Jacob Young to 3rd.3–3
9Eddie Rosario homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.3–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








