Twins at Nationals
Last play · Christian Vázquez grounds out, first baseman Joey Gallo to pitcher Dylan Floro.
Win probability
Nationals100%
MIN 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 1 – 7 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +130
Nationals favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luis García Jr. homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Joey Meneses scores. (inning 2) — +25% Nationals
8Eddie Rosario singles on a ground ball to right fielder Manuel Margot. Joey Gallo scores. CJ Abrams scores.3–12
6Jesse Winker strikes out swinging.3–10
6Eddie Rosario singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Manuel Margot. Keibert Ruiz scores. Jacob Young to 3rd.3–8
6Carlos Correa homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Ryan Jeffers scores.3–7
5Luis García Jr. singles on a line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton. Jesse Winker scores. Joey Meneses to 2nd.1–7
5Joey Meneses singles on a line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton. Jacob Young scores. Jesse Winker to 2nd.1–6
5Jacob Young singles on a ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Joey Gallo scores. Keibert Ruiz scores.1–5
4Jesse Winker homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.1–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
