Twins at Nationals
Last play · Keibert Ruiz grounds out, second baseman Kyle Farmer to first baseman Carlos Santana.
Win probability
Nationals0%
MIN 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 1 – 0 WSH
Twins led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Nationals favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Max Kepler homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 2) — -20% Twins
9Joey Meneses homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.3–2
9Ryan Jeffers singles on a ground ball to left fielder Ildemaro Vargas. Max Kepler scores.3–1
7Keibert Ruiz grounds out to first baseman Carlos Santana. Luis García Jr. scores. Ildemaro Vargas to 3rd.2–1
6Carlos Correa homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.2–0
2Max Kepler homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
