Mariners at Nationals
Last play · Julio Rodríguez grounds out, third baseman Nick Senzel to first baseman Joey Gallo.
Win probability
Nationals100%
SEA 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 1 – 3 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Nationals favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luis García Jr. homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. CJ Abrams scores. Joey Meneses scores. (inning 4) — +38% Nationals
8Eddie Rosario homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.1–6
6Keibert Ruiz homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Jesse Winker scores.1–5
4Luis García Jr. homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. CJ Abrams scores. Joey Meneses scores.1–3
1J.P. Crawford homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
