Mets at Nationals
Last play · Luis García Jr. lines out to second baseman Jose Iglesias.
Win probability
Nationals0%
NYM 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 2 – 0 WSH
Mets led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-140 / +120
Nationals favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luis Torrens homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 6) — -17% Mets
8Joey Gallo out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Harrison Bader. Keibert Ruiz scores. Jesse Winker to 3rd.9–1
7J.D. Martinez grounds into a double play, shortstop CJ Abrams to second baseman Luis García Jr. to first baseman Joey Gallo. Francisco Lindor scores. Pete Alonso to 3rd. Brandon Nimmo out at 2nd. J.D. Martinez out at 1st.9–0
6Jose Iglesias singles on a ground ball to right fielder Eddie Rosario. Harrison Bader scores.8–0
6Harrison Bader doubles (9) on a line drive to left fielder Jesse Winker. J.D. Martinez scores. Mark Vientos scores.7–0
6Mark Vientos singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jesse Winker. Pete Alonso scores. J.D. Martinez to 2nd.5–0
6Francisco Lindor homers (10) on a fly ball to center field.4–0
6Luis Torrens homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.3–0
5Harrison Bader out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Eddie Rosario. Tyrone Taylor scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














