Mariners at Nationals
Last play · Julio Rodríguez grounds out, shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Joey Gallo.
Win probability
Nationals100%
SEA 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 1 – 1 WSH
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-165 / +140
Nationals favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ildemaro Vargas grounds out, shortstop J. P. Crawford to first baseman Ty France. Victor Robles scores. Keibert Ruiz to 2nd. (inning 7) — +21% Nationals
7Joey Gallo singles on a line drive to right fielder Luke Raley. Keibert Ruiz scores.1–3
7Ildemaro Vargas grounds out, shortstop J. P. Crawford to first baseman Ty France. Victor Robles scores. Keibert Ruiz to 2nd.1–2
5Julio Rodríguez homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
2Keibert Ruiz out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Luis García Jr. scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
