Mets at Nationals
Last play · Lane Thomas flies out to right fielder Starling Marte.
Win probability
Nationals0%
NYM 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 5 – 1 WSH
Mets led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-140 / +120
Nationals favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Harrison Bader homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Starling Marte scores. (inning 4) — -26% Mets
9Jacob Young singles on a ground ball to right fielder Starling Marte. Jesse Winker scores.6–3
9Pete Alonso homers (14) on a fly ball to left field.6–2
7Joey Gallo singles on a ground ball to right fielder Starling Marte. Jesse Winker scores.5–2
5Jacob Young singles on a ground ball to right fielder Starling Marte. Jesse Winker scores.5–1
5Mark Vientos out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jesse Winker. Starling Marte scores.5–0
5Starling Marte triples (2) on a line drive to right fielder Lane Thomas. Pete Alonso scores. Brandon Nimmo scores.4–0
4Harrison Bader homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Starling Marte scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














