Braves at Nationals
Last play · Matt Olson strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Nationals100%
ATL 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 2 – 8 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-165 / +140
Nationals favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Keibert Ruiz homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Jesse Winker scores. Luis García Jr. scores. (inning 4) — +38% Nationals
9Jarred Kelenic homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. Michael Harris II scores. Orlando Arcia scores.5–8
5Keibert Ruiz out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Michael Harris II. Jesse Winker scores.2–8
4CJ Abrams doubles (12) on a line drive to right fielder Adam Duvall. Nick Senzel scores. Joey Gallo scores. Jacob Young scores.2–7
4Keibert Ruiz homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Jesse Winker scores. Luis García Jr. scores.2–4
4Luis García Jr. singles on a line drive to left fielder Jarred Kelenic. Lane Thomas scores. Jesse Winker to 2nd.2–1
2Jarred Kelenic strikes out swinging.2–0
2Michael Harris II singles on a line drive to left fielder Jesse Winker. Adam Duvall scores. Travis d'Arnaud to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














