Braves at Nationals
Last play · Sean Murphy grounds out, shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Joey Gallo.
Win probability
Nationals100%
ATL 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 1 – 5 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Nationals favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Eddie Rosario doubles (9) on a fly ball to center fielder Michael Harris II. CJ Abrams scores. Lane Thomas scores. (inning 1) — +17% Nationals
7Sean Murphy homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.3–7
6Nick Senzel homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field. Keibert Ruiz scores.2–7
6Michael Harris II strikes out swinging.2–5
5Eddie Rosario singles on a ground ball to right fielder Adam Duvall. Lane Thomas scores.1–5
5Ozzie Albies doubles (17) on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Jesse Winker. Michael Harris II scores.1–4
4Nick Senzel doubles (9) on a line drive to left fielder Jarred Kelenic. Luis García Jr. scores.0–4
2CJ Abrams singles on a line drive to left fielder Jarred Kelenic. Nick Senzel scores.0–3
1Eddie Rosario doubles (9) on a fly ball to center fielder Michael Harris II. CJ Abrams scores. Lane Thomas scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














