Marlins at Nationals
Last play · Nick Gordon lines out to right fielder Lane Thomas.
Win probability
Nationals100%
MIA 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 1 – 7 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -185
Nationals favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Lane Thomas homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Jacob Young scores. CJ Abrams scores. (inning 3) — +38% Nationals
6Jesse Winker singles on a line drive to center fielder Jazz Chisholm Jr. Jacob Young scores. Lane Thomas to 3rd. Jesse Winker to 2nd. Fielding error by center fielder Jazz Chisholm Jr.1–8
3CJ Abrams singles on a line drive to left fielder Bryan De La Cruz. Joey Meneses scores. Luis García Jr. scores. Nick Senzel to 2nd.1–7
3Joey Meneses singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jazz Chisholm Jr. Jesse Winker scores. Eddie Rosario scores.1–5
3Lane Thomas homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Jacob Young scores. CJ Abrams scores.1–3
2Nick Fortes singles on a ground ball to third baseman Nick Senzel. Tim Anderson scores. Dane Myers to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














