Marlins at Nationals
Last play · Jesús Sánchez grounds out sharply, third baseman Trey Lipscomb to first baseman Joey Meneses.
Win probability
Nationals100%
MIA 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 0 – 2 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Nationals favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Lane Thomas homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 3) — +12% Nationals
8Joey Meneses homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. CJ Abrams scores.0–4
3Lane Thomas homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.0–2
1Joey Meneses out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Dane Myers. Lane Thomas scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














