Braves at Nationals
Last play · Sean Murphy called out on strikes.
Win probability
Nationals100%
ATL 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 0 – 2 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-200 / +170
Nationals favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Joey Meneses strikes out swinging. (inning 4) — +13% Nationals
8Matt Olson singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Lane Thomas. Marcell Ozuna scores.1–2
4Ildemaro Vargas singles on a ground ball to center fielder Michael Harris II. Nick Senzel scores.0–2
4Joey Meneses strikes out swinging.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














