Braves at Nationals
Last play · Joey Meneses grounds out sharply, shortstop Orlando Arcia to first baseman Matt Olson.
Win probability
Nationals0%
ATL 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 0 – 0 WSH
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-165 / +135
Nationals favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Adam Duvall homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field. Marcell Ozuna scores. (inning 7) — -36% Braves
8Marcell Ozuna homers (18) on a fly ball to left center field. Austin Riley scores.5–2
8Austin Riley singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Ozzie Albies scores.3–2
7Adam Duvall homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field. Marcell Ozuna scores.2–2
6Lane Thomas homers (4) on a line drive to left center field.0–2
6CJ Abrams homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














