D-backs at Nationals
Last play · Gabriel Moreno strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Nationals100%
AZ 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 1 – 0 WSH
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-175 / +150
Nationals favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jesse Winker homers (7) on a fly ball to center field. Lane Thomas scores. (inning 6) — +34% Nationals
7Ildemaro Vargas singles on a ground ball to right fielder Randal Grichuk. Keibert Ruiz scores. Jacob Young to 3rd. Ildemaro Vargas to 2nd.1–3
6Jesse Winker homers (7) on a fly ball to center field. Lane Thomas scores.1–2
4Gabriel Moreno walks. Christian Walker scores. Randal Grichuk to 3rd. Eugenio Suárez to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














