Mets at Nationals
Last play · Luis García Jr. strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Nationals0%
NYM 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 0 – 2 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Nationals favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · J.D. Martinez homers (10) on a fly ball to center field. Francisco Lindor scores. Harrison Bader scores. (inning 10) — -55% Mets
10Keibert Ruiz singles on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Ildemaro Vargas scores. James Wood to 2nd.9–7
10Ildemaro Vargas doubles (12) on a ground ball to right fielder Tyrone Taylor. CJ Abrams scores. Jesse Winker scores.9–6
10Jesse Winker doubles (12) on a ground ball to left fielder Ben Gamel. Jacob Young scores. CJ Abrams to 3rd.9–4
10Jose Iglesias homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Francisco Alvarez scores.9–3
10Francisco Alvarez triples (1) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Lane Thomas. Tyrone Taylor scores.7–3
10J.D. Martinez homers (10) on a fly ball to center field. Francisco Lindor scores. Harrison Bader scores.6–3
8Joey Meneses singles on a fly ball to right fielder Tyrone Taylor. Jesse Winker scores. Joey Meneses to 2nd. Joey Meneses advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by right fielder Tyrone Taylor.3–3
6Francisco Alvarez doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Mark Vientos scores. Tyrone Taylor scores.3–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














