Mets at Nationals
Last play · Jesse Winker lines out to left fielder Brandon Nimmo.
Win probability
Nationals0%
NYM 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 0 – 2 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-140 / +120
Nationals favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jose Iglesias doubles (5) on a line drive to right fielder Lane Thomas. Tyrone Taylor scores. (inning 10) — -28% Mets
10Pete Alonso homers (18) on a fly ball to left field. Ben Gamel scores.7–2
10Mark Vientos singles on a line drive to left fielder James Wood. Brandon Nimmo scores.5–2
10Brandon Nimmo doubles (16) on a line drive to left fielder James Wood. Jose Iglesias scores.4–2
10Jose Iglesias doubles (5) on a line drive to right fielder Lane Thomas. Tyrone Taylor scores.3–2
8Brandon Nimmo singles on a ground ball to left fielder James Wood. Francisco Lindor scores.2–2
6Francisco Lindor homers (14) on a fly ball to left field.1–2
5Harold Ramírez grounds into a force out, third baseman Mark Vientos to second baseman Jose Iglesias. Jacob Young scores. Lane Thomas out at 2nd. Harold Ramírez to 1st.0–2
3CJ Abrams singles on a ground ball to shortstop Francisco Lindor. Nick Senzel scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














