Mets at Nationals
Last play · Luis Torrens flies out to right fielder Lane Thomas in foul territory.
Win probability
Nationals100%
NYM 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 5 – 1 WSH
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Nationals favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luis García Jr. homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. James Wood scores. Jesse Winker scores. (inning 6) — +34% Nationals
8Luis García Jr. homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.5–7
7James Wood singles on a ground ball to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Lane Thomas scores.5–6
7Lane Thomas doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. CJ Abrams scores.5–5
6Luis García Jr. homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. James Wood scores. Jesse Winker scores.5–4
5Ildemaro Vargas singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ben Gamel. Luis García Jr. scores. Joey Meneses to 2nd.5–1
5Francisco Lindor homers (15) on a line drive to left center field. Ben Gamel scores.5–0
4Mark Vientos homers (11) on a fly ball to center field. J.D. Martinez scores.3–0
3Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Tyrone Taylor homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














