Mets at Nationals
Last play · Brandon Nimmo strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Nationals100%
NYM 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 0 – 0 WSH
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Nationals favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jesse Winker homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 8) — +29% Nationals
8Jesse Winker homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














