Cardinals at Nationals
Last play · Juan Yepez grounds out, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
Win probability
Nationals0%
STL 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 2 – 0 WSH
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Nationals favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Paul Goldschmidt homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 4) — -17% Cardinals
9Alec Burleson singles on a ground ball to right fielder Lane Thomas. Nolan Gorman scores. Michael Siani scores.6–0
8Brendan Donovan doubles (20) on a line drive to left fielder James Wood. Paul Goldschmidt scores.4–0
8Alec Burleson homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field.3–0
4Paul Goldschmidt homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field.2–0
3Alec Burleson grounds into a force out, third baseman Trey Lipscomb to shortstop CJ Abrams. Nolan Gorman scores. Michael Siani out at 2nd. Alec Burleson to 1st. Throwing error by shortstop CJ Abrams.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














