Cardinals at Nationals
Last play · Lane Thomas strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Nationals0%
STL 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 6 – 2 WSH
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Nationals favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nolan Arenado singles on a line drive to left fielder James Wood. Alec Burleson scores. Willson Contreras scores. (inning 5) — -17% Cardinals
7Willson Contreras homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Michael Siani scores.8–3
6Jesse Winker doubles (17) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Dylan Carlson. James Wood scores.6–3
5Nolan Arenado singles on a line drive to left fielder James Wood. Alec Burleson scores. Willson Contreras scores.6–2
5Willson Contreras singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Masyn Winn scores. Alec Burleson to 2nd.4–2
4Nolan Gorman singles on a ground ball to left fielder James Wood, deflected by third baseman Trey Lipscomb. Paul Goldschmidt scores.3–2
2Riley Adams singles on a line drive to right fielder Alec Burleson. Juan Yepez scores.2–2
2Juan Yepez doubles (2) on a fly ball to center fielder Dylan Carlson. Jesse Winker scores.2–1
2Dylan Carlson singles on a fly ball to right fielder Lane Thomas. Nolan Gorman scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














