Reds at Nationals
Last play · Noelvi Marte grounds out, pitcher Kyle Finnegan to first baseman Juan Yepez.
Win probability
Nationals100%
CIN 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 2 – 2 WSH
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Nationals favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · James Wood homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Nasim Nuñez scores. Ildemaro Vargas scores. (inning 8) — +37% Nationals
8James Wood homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Nasim Nuñez scores. Ildemaro Vargas scores.2–5
5Stuart Fairchild homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.2–2
3Harold Ramírez singles on a ground ball to left fielder Will Benson. Juan Yepez scores.1–2
2Noelvi Marte homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














