Reds at Nationals
Last play · Spencer Steer pops out to second baseman Ildemaro Vargas.
Win probability
Nationals100%
CIN 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 4 – 3 WSH
Reds led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Nationals favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jacob Young singles on a ground ball to left fielder Spencer Steer. Ildemaro Vargas scores. (inning 8) — +29% Nationals
8Jacob Young singles on a ground ball to left fielder Spencer Steer. Ildemaro Vargas scores.4–5
7Lane Thomas doubles (12) on a line drive to right fielder Rece Hinds. Jacob Young scores.4–4
4CJ Abrams singles on a ground ball to first baseman Jeimer Candelario. Riley Adams scores. James Wood to 3rd. Jacob Young to 2nd.4–3
3Tyler Stephenson homers (11) on a fly ball to center field.4–2
2Elly De La Cruz doubles (20) on a line drive to left fielder James Wood. Jonathan India scores. Elly De La Cruz to 3rd. Elly De La Cruz advances to 3rd, on a fielding error by left fielder James Wood.3–2
1Harold Ramírez homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. CJ Abrams scores.2–2
1Austin Slater out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder James Wood. Elly De La Cruz scores.2–0
1Spencer Steer singles on a line drive to right fielder Lane Thomas. Jonathan India scores. Elly De La Cruz to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














