Padres at Nationals
Last play · CJ Abrams lines out to right fielder Bryce Johnson.
Win probability
Nationals0%
SD 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 3 – 0 WSH
Padres led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-160 / +125
Nationals favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ha-Seong Kim singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young, deflected by left fielder James Wood. Donovan Solano scores. Xander Bogaerts scores. Jake Cronenworth scores. Ha-Seong Kim to 2nd. (inning 1) — -28% Padres
1Ha-Seong Kim singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young, deflected by left fielder James Wood. Donovan Solano scores. Xander Bogaerts scores. Jake Cronenworth scores. Ha-Seong Kim to 2nd.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














