Padres at Nationals
Last play · Luis García Jr. flies out to left fielder David Peralta.
Win probability
Nationals0%
SD 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 12 – 3 WSH
Padres led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Nationals favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jurickson Profar homers (16) on a fly ball to center field. Luis Arraez scores. (inning 2) — -25% Padres
5Manny Machado doubles (17) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Xander Bogaerts scores.12–3
4Kyle Higashioka homers (12) on a fly ball to left field. Jackson Merrill scores.11–3
4Jackson Merrill triples (3) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Ha-Seong Kim scores.9–3
4Jake Cronenworth singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jacob Young. Jurickson Profar scores. Xander Bogaerts scores.8–3
3Bryce Johnson out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Mitchell Parker to first baseman Juan Yepez. Jackson Merrill scores. Kyle Higashioka to 3rd.6–3
3Kyle Higashioka doubles (5) on a line drive to left fielder James Wood. Ha-Seong Kim scores. Jackson Merrill to 3rd.5–3
2Jurickson Profar homers (16) on a fly ball to center field. Luis Arraez scores.4–3
2Luis Arraez singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Ha-Seong Kim scores. Jackson Merrill scores.2–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














