Yankees at Nationals
Last play · Gleyber Torres flies out to right fielder Dylan Crews.
Win probability
Nationals100%
NYY 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 0 – 3 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+2.5
Moneyline
reference-235 / +195
Nationals favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andrés Chaparro homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 4) — +15% Nationals
9Anthony Volpe grounds out, shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Joey Gallo. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores.2–4
8Aaron Judge grounds into a double play, shortstop CJ Abrams to second baseman Luis García Jr. to first baseman Joey Gallo. DJ LeMahieu scores. Gleyber Torres to 3rd. Juan Soto out at 2nd. Aaron Judge out at 1st.1–4
6Joey Gallo reaches on a fielding error by first baseman DJ LeMahieu. Dylan Crews scores.0–4
4José Tena homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.0–3
4Andrés Chaparro homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.0–2
2Joey Gallo grounds out, second baseman Gleyber Torres to first baseman DJ LeMahieu. José Tena scores. Dylan Crews to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
