Cubs at Nationals
Last play · James Wood called out on strikes.
Win probability
Nationals0%
CHC 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 4 – 3 WSH
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Nationals favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ian Happ grounds out, pitcher DJ Herz to first baseman Joey Gallo. Nico Hoerner scores. Christian Bethancourt to 3rd. (inning 5) — -16% Cubs
7Christian Bethancourt grounds out to catcher Drew Millas. Nico Hoerner scores. Throwing error by catcher Drew Millas.5–3
5Luis García Jr. walks. Jacob Young scores. Wild pitch by pitcher Javier Assad.4–3
5Dansby Swanson doubles (20) on a line drive to left fielder James Wood. Christian Bethancourt scores.4–2
5Ian Happ grounds out, pitcher DJ Herz to first baseman Joey Gallo. Nico Hoerner scores. Christian Bethancourt to 3rd.3–2
5Christian Bethancourt singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Michael Busch scores. Nico Hoerner to 3rd. Christian Bethancourt to 2nd. Fielding error by center fielder Jacob Young.2–2
5Pete Crow-Armstrong out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder James Wood. Isaac Paredes scores.1–2
4Andrés Chaparro homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.0–2
2Joey Gallo singles on a line drive to right fielder Cody Bellinger. José Tena scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
