Sacred Heart vs. Massachusetts: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
SACRTeam statsMASS
- Q4 3:32SACRCole Snider 1 Yd Run (Ryan Bocklet Kick)10–37
- Q3 5:29SACRRyan Bocklet 35 Yd Field Goal 3–37
- Q3 10:23MASSJahmad Harmon 34 Yd Interception Return (Derek Morris Kick)0–37
- Q3 11:51MASSReece Adkins 1 Yd Run (Derek Morris Kick)0–30
- Q2 0:21MASSWilliam Watson III 8 Yd Run (Derek Morris PAT failed)0–23
- Q1 1:40MASSDerek Morris 33 Yd Field Goal 0–17
- Q1 11:44MASST.Y. Harding 82 Yd Punt Return (Derek Morris Kick)0–14
- Q1 14:16MASST.Y. Harding 49 Yd pass from William Watson III (Derek Morris Kick)0–7
How the model called it
Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = SACR ahead, below = MASS ahead.
Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.
- PassPoochie Snyder 11/16, 77 YDS, 1 INT
- RushNicholas Yanchuk 6 CAR, 28 YDS
- RecJason Palmieri 5 REC, 46 YDS
- PassWilliam Watson III 9/10, 152 YDS, 1 TD
- RushElijah Faulkner 11 CAR, 72 YDS
- RecJoseph Griffin Jr. 3 REC, 59 YDS
FAQ
What was the final score of Sacred Heart vs. Massachusetts?
Sacred Heart 10, Massachusetts 37.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (MASS) was correct.
| SACR | MASS | |
|---|---|---|
| 303 | Total yards | 315 |
| 160 | Passing yards | 163 |
| 143 | Rushing yards | 152 |
| 16 | First downs | 11 |
| 3-13 | 3rd down | 3-9 |
| 2-3 | 4th down | 1-1 |
| 17/25 | Comp/Att | 11/14 |
| 6.4 | Yards per pass | 11.6 |
| 3.4 | Yards per rush | 5.8 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 8-55 | Penalties | 8-66 |
| 35:01 | Possession | 24:59 |
- Q4 3:32SACRCole Snider 1 Yd Run (Ryan Bocklet Kick)10–37
- Q3 5:29SACRRyan Bocklet 35 Yd Field Goal 3–37
- Q3 10:23MASSJahmad Harmon 34 Yd Interception Return (Derek Morris Kick)0–37
- Q3 11:51MASSReece Adkins 1 Yd Run (Derek Morris Kick)0–30
- Q2 0:21MASSWilliam Watson III 8 Yd Run (Derek Morris PAT failed)0–23
- Q1 1:40MASSDerek Morris 33 Yd Field Goal 0–17
- Q1 11:44MASST.Y. Harding 82 Yd Punt Return (Derek Morris Kick)0–14
- Q1 14:16MASST.Y. Harding 49 Yd pass from William Watson III (Derek Morris Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency, with home-field advantage. That projects MASS -8.5 (69% to win) — 15.0 points clear of SACR's market line of -23.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →