The Citadel vs. Georgia Tech: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
The Citadel0-2
▸
Georgia Tech1-1
Final/OT
Bobby Dodd Stadium
THE Team statsGT
350Total yards301
30Pass118
320Rush183
25First downs14
8-163rd down3-9
1Turnovers0
41:50Possession18:10
- OT 0:00THE Jacob Godek 37 Yd Field Goal 27–24
- Q4 0:00GTBrenton King 34 Yd Field Goal 24–24
- Q4 1:51THE Jacob Godek 47 Yd Field Goal 24–21
- Q4 7:29GTJordan Mason 25 Yd Run (Brenton King Kick)21–21
- Q3 6:05THE Brandon Rainey 22 Yd Run (Jacob Godek Kick)21–14
- Q3 10:50GTJalen Camp 33 Yd pass from Lucas Johnson (Lucas Johnson Pass to Jalen Camp for Two-Point Conversion)14–14
- Q2 0:15THE Dante Smith 12 Yd Run (Jacob Godek Kick)14–6
- Q2 12:49GTJ. Mason run for 4 yds for a TD, (W. Wells PAT MISSED)7–6
- Q1 5:55THE Raleigh Webb 30 Yd pass from Brandon Rainey (Jacob Godek Kick)7–0
How the model called it
Market line
GT −25.5
Against the number
THE covered
line GT −25.5
Kickoff145 plays →Final
Tap or hover on the chart to see play details
GT (top)THE (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: GT 0%
Closing line
GT −25.5
Closing total
58.5
Model line
—
Actual result
THE 27 – 24 GT
consensus, liveGT −25.5total 58.5
The Citadel
- PassBrandon Rainey 1/4, 30 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
- RushClay Harris 26 CAR, 93 YDS
- RecRaleigh Webb 1 REC, 30 YDS, 1 TD
Georgia Tech
- PassLucas Johnson 5/10, 91 YDS, 1 TD
- RushTobias Oliver 11 CAR, 92 YDS
- RecJalen Camp 3 REC, 71 YDS, 1 TD
28.3sper snap · slower the national 24.5s
fastnational avgslow
Snaps run
127
Points / snap
0.40
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsTHE up 7 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,299 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
81%
THE went on to win
A solid but not safe lead
FAQ
What was the final score of The Citadel vs. Georgia Tech?
The Citadel 27, Georgia Tech 24.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked GT, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
THE
GT
39%
Success rate
45%
0.93
EPA / pass
-0.09
0.12
EPA / rush
0.20
35%
Early-down success
49%
40%
Pass success
31%
39%
Rush success
52%
8%
Explosive play rate (15+ yds)
17%
11%
Stuffed rush rate
16%
6%
Pass rate
34%
7.0
Avg 3rd-down distance
9.0
THE
7.0 yards to go on 3rd down
80 scrimmage snaps
GT
9.0 yards to go on 3rd down
47 scrimmage snaps
| THE | GT | |
|---|---|---|
| 350 | Total yards | 301 |
| 30 | Passing yards | 118 |
| 320 | Rushing yards | 183 |
| 25 | First downs | 14 |
| 8-16 | 3rd down | 3-9 |
| 1-1 | 4th down | 0-1 |
| 1/4 | Comp/Att | 7/13 |
| 7.5 | Yards per pass | 9.1 |
| 4.5 | Yards per rush | 5.5 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 5-55 | Penalties | 8-80 |
| 41:50 | Possession | 18:10 |
THE
3/5 with the model
−1.4 pts · −0.0% win prob
GT
4/5 with the model
−1.0 pts · −0.0% win prob
Costliest call
Q3 13:05 THE punt on 4th & 1 at THE 13. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 1.12 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finishTHE 5/10 scoring drives← own end zone →GT 3/10 scoring drives
THE PUNT3 pl, 0 yds· own 25Q1
GTPUNT4 pl, 33 yds· own 31Q1
THE TD9 pl, 80 yds· own 20Q1
GTPUNT6 pl, 10 yds· own 45Q1
THE PUNT3 pl, 8 yds· own 13Q1
GTTD8 pl, 71 yds· own 29Q1
THE INT10 pl, 33 yds· own 25Q2
GTPUNT3 pl, -2 yds· own 28Q2
THE TD13 pl, 67 yds· own 33Q2
GTEND1 pl, -2 yds· own 35Q2
GTPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· own 43Q3
THE PUNT3 pl, 9 yds· own 4Q3
GTTD1 pl, 33 yds· opp 33Q3
THE TD9 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q3
GTDOWNS8 pl, 51 yds· own 25Q3
THE MISS13 pl, 43 yds· own 24Q3
GTTD4 pl, 67 yds· own 33Q4
THE FG11 pl, 45 yds· own 25Q4
GTFG10 pl, 0 yds· opp 25Q4
THE FG4 pl, 5 yds· opp 25OT
- OT 0:00THE Jacob Godek 37 Yd Field Goal 27–24
- Q4 0:00GTBrenton King 34 Yd Field Goal 24–24
- Q4 1:51THE Jacob Godek 47 Yd Field Goal 24–21
- Q4 7:29GTJordan Mason 25 Yd Run (Brenton King Kick)21–21
- Q3 6:05THE Brandon Rainey 22 Yd Run (Jacob Godek Kick)21–14
- Q3 10:50GTJalen Camp 33 Yd pass from Lucas Johnson (Lucas Johnson Pass to Jalen Camp for Two-Point Conversion)14–14
- Q2 0:15THE Dante Smith 12 Yd Run (Jacob Godek Kick)14–6
- Q2 12:49GTJ. Mason run for 4 yds for a TD, (W. Wells PAT MISSED)7–6
- Q1 5:55THE Raleigh Webb 30 Yd pass from Brandon Rainey (Jacob Godek Kick)7–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOne or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
The matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profilesThe Citadel were +25.5 — a 6% shot
#24 of 105 in 2019 by biggest miss · #3 of 124 in 2019 by longest odds.
The 2019 upset archive →Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →