Kansas vs. Boston College: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
KUTeam statsBC
- Q4 5:44KUKhalil Herbert 6 Yd Run (Liam Jones Kick)48–24
- Q3 0:35KULiam Jones 30 Yd Field Goal 41–24
- Q3 5:25KUPooka Williams Jr. 12 Yd Run (Liam Jones Kick)38–24
- Q3 10:24KULiam Jones 24 Yd Field Goal 31–24
- Q2 0:05KUAndrew Parchment 3 Yd pass from Carter Stanley (Liam Jones Kick)28–24
- Q2 0:45BCAnthony Brown 12 Yd pass from CJ Lewis (Aaron Boumerhi Kick)21–24
- Q2 3:41KUAndrew Parchment 4 Yd pass from Carter Stanley (Liam Jones Kick)21–17
- Q2 14:19KUHudson Hall 1 Yd Run (Liam Jones Kick)14–17
- Q1 0:17BCKorab Idrizi 20 Yd pass from Anthony Brown (Aaron Boumerhi Kick)7–17
- Q1 3:27KUJack Luavasa 19 Yd pass from Carter Stanley (Liam Jones Kick)7–10
- Q1 11:09BCAaron Boumerhi 40 Yd Field Goal 0–10
- Q1 12:41BCAJ Dillon 2 Yd Run (Aaron Boumerhi Kick)0–7
How the model called it
- PassCarter Stanley 20/27, 238 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
- RushKhalil Herbert 11 CAR, 187 YDS, 1 TD
- RecAndrew Parchment 8 REC, 100 YDS, 2 TD
- PassAnthony Brown Jr. 18/36, 195 YDS, 1 TD
- RushAJ Dillon 27 CAR, 151 YDS, 1 TD
- RecHunter Long 2 REC, 48 YDS
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsKU up 17 entering the 4th quarter. Across 841 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q3 5:25KU +25%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 12 yds for a TD (Liam Jones KICK)
- Q2 0:05KU +22%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 3 yds for a TD (Liam Jones KICK)
- Q2 3:41KU +21%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 4 yds for a TD (Liam Jones KICK)
- Q2 0:45BC +20%
CJ Lewis pass complete to Anthony Brown for 12 yds for a TD (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)
- Q3 10:24KU +15%
Liam Jones 24 yd FG GOOD
- Q2 14:19KU +11%
Hudson Hall run for 1 yd for a TD (Liam Jones KICK)
FAQ
What was the final score of Kansas vs. Boston College?
Kansas 48, Boston College 24.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked BC, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
| KU | BC | |
|---|---|---|
| 567 | Total yards | 447 |
| 238 | Passing yards | 219 |
| 329 | Rushing yards | 228 |
| 23 | First downs | 26 |
| 8-15 | 3rd down | 10-19 |
| 0-0 | 4th down | 0-3 |
| 20/27 | Comp/Att | 21/41 |
| 8.8 | Yards per pass | 5.3 |
| 7.3 | Yards per rush | 4.9 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 8-75 | Penalties | 8-55 |
| 31:53 | Possession | 28:07 |
Costliest call
Q4 6:19 KU punt on 4th & 3 at BC 41. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 1.08 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 5:44KUKhalil Herbert 6 Yd Run (Liam Jones Kick)48–24
- Q3 0:35KULiam Jones 30 Yd Field Goal 41–24
- Q3 5:25KUPooka Williams Jr. 12 Yd Run (Liam Jones Kick)38–24
- Q3 10:24KULiam Jones 24 Yd Field Goal 31–24
- Q2 0:05KUAndrew Parchment 3 Yd pass from Carter Stanley (Liam Jones Kick)28–24
- Q2 0:45BCAnthony Brown 12 Yd pass from CJ Lewis (Aaron Boumerhi Kick)21–24
- Q2 3:41KUAndrew Parchment 4 Yd pass from Carter Stanley (Liam Jones Kick)21–17
- Q2 14:19KUHudson Hall 1 Yd Run (Liam Jones Kick)14–17
- Q1 0:17BCKorab Idrizi 20 Yd pass from Anthony Brown (Aaron Boumerhi Kick)7–17
- Q1 3:27KUJack Luavasa 19 Yd pass from Carter Stanley (Liam Jones Kick)7–10
- Q1 11:09BCAaron Boumerhi 40 Yd Field Goal 0–10
- Q1 12:41BCAJ Dillon 2 Yd Run (Aaron Boumerhi Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (BC Elo 1597, KU Elo 1365 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects BC -11.7 (79% to win) — 7.8 points clear of KU's market line of -19.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2019
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles#3 of 105 in 2019 by biggest miss · #9 of 124 in 2019 by longest odds.
The 2019 upset archive →| KU | BC | |
|---|---|---|
| -9.6 (#100) | CORE overall | -1.8 (#68) |
| -2 / +7 | offense / defense | +8 / +10 |
| 1.95 | points / drive | 2.29 |
| 3.17 | allowed / drive | 2.71 |
| 33% | three-and-outs | 31% |
| -1 | pass over expected | -15 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →