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Which is the best college football conference in 2022?

Analysis

Every FBS team is a dot. Conference averages are not shown, and that is the point: the SEC’s mean is dragged up by four teams, the Big Ten’s spread is twice the Sun Belt’s, and a bar chart of means says none of it. What “compare the conferences” actually asks is how much of one league sits inside the other.

Team talent composite · 2022

FBS medianSECPac-12Big TenBig 12ACCAmerican Athlet…Conference USASun BeltMid-AmericanMountain WestFBS Independents

One dot per team, one tick per conference median. Leagues are ordered by median, and the mean is deliberately not shown — four teams drag it and it hides how far the two distributions overlap.

ConferenceTeamsMedianSpreadBest
SEC14763.7135.3Alabama 1016.8
Pac-1212687.6109.7Oregon 877.9
Big Ten14681.4102.7Ohio State 983.1
Big 1210664.3121.6Texas 887.5
ACC14659.6155.3Clemson 943.0
American Athletic11533.3134.3Cincinnati 650.9
Conference USA11473.863.0Florida Atlantic 550.5
Sun Belt14457.428.3Southern Miss 479.0
Mid-American12400.765.4Toledo 499.0
Mountain West12394.463.1Boise State 533.9
FBS Independents7239.2253.3Notre Dame 866.5

Two numbers, not one

Median answers “how good is this league”. Spread — the interquartile range — answers “how evenly good”, and it is usually the more interesting of the two. A league with a high median and a huge spread is four contenders and eight teams padding their records, which is exactly the shape that produces a conference champion who keeps losing in January.

Note which metric you are looking at. CORE is opponent-adjusted, so it can be compared across leagues honestly. The raw metrics cannot: a conference that plays itself twelve times has its schedule strength baked into every raw number, which is the single most common way conference comparisons go wrong.