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Which is the best college football conference in 2020?

Analysis

Every FBS team is a dot. Conference averages are not shown, and that is the point: the SEC’s mean is dragged up by four teams, the Big Ten’s spread is twice the Sun Belt’s, and a bar chart of means says none of it. What “compare the conferences” actually asks is how much of one league sits inside the other.

CORE offense · 2020

FBS medianFBS IndependentsPac-12Mid-AmericanBig 12Sun BeltSECACCMountain WestBig TenAmerican Athlet…Conference USA

One dot per team, one tick per conference median. Leagues are ordered by median, and the mean is deliberately not shown — four teams drag it and it hides how far the two distributions overlap.

ConferenceTeamsMedianSpreadBest
FBS Independents48.916.4BYU 24.6
Pac-1265.85.0Oregon 10.9
Mid-American84.715.6Western Michigan 20.6
Big 12102.117.2Oklahoma 13.4
Sun Belt101.98.9Coastal Carolina 13.2
SEC141.516.1Alabama 28.8
ACC140.8159.9North Carolina 19.3
Mountain West11-0.4609.6Air Force 11.9
Big Ten13-1.08.4Ohio State 19.5
American Athletic11-2.510.0UCF 12.4
Conference USA11-4.811.6North Texas 2.2

Two numbers, not one

Median answers “how good is this league”. Spread — the interquartile range — answers “how evenly good”, and it is usually the more interesting of the two. A league with a high median and a huge spread is four contenders and eight teams padding their records, which is exactly the shape that produces a conference champion who keeps losing in January.

Note which metric you are looking at. CORE is opponent-adjusted, so it can be compared across leagues honestly. The raw metrics cannot: a conference that plays itself twelve times has its schedule strength baked into every raw number, which is the single most common way conference comparisons go wrong.