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Which is the best college football conference in 2023?

Analysis

Every FBS team is a dot. Conference averages are not shown, and that is the point: the SEC’s mean is dragged up by four teams, the Big Ten’s spread is twice the Sun Belt’s, and a bar chart of means says none of it. What “compare the conferences” actually asks is how much of one league sits inside the other.

Team talent composite · 2023

FBS medianSECPac-12ACCBig TenBig 12American Athlet…FBS IndependentsSun BeltMountain WestMid-AmericanConference USA

One dot per team, one tick per conference median. Leagues are ordered by median, and the mean is deliberately not shown — four teams drag it and it hides how far the two distributions overlap.

ConferenceTeamsMedianSpreadBest
SEC14767.0153.0Alabama 1015.4
Pac-1212711.171.3USC 896.4
ACC14700.6142.6Clemson 917.9
Big Ten14689.2107.3Ohio State 974.8
Big 1214665.055.4Texas 913.2
American Athletic14554.7108.2SMU 714.2
FBS Independents4525.3385.8Notre Dame 870.7
Sun Belt14477.083.0South Alabama 545.7
Mountain West12425.0138.5Boise State 579.9
Mid-American12387.355.8Toledo 497.6
Conference USA9379.6157.2Western Kentucky 491.3

Two numbers, not one

Median answers “how good is this league”. Spread — the interquartile range — answers “how evenly good”, and it is usually the more interesting of the two. A league with a high median and a huge spread is four contenders and eight teams padding their records, which is exactly the shape that produces a conference champion who keeps losing in January.

Note which metric you are looking at. CORE is opponent-adjusted, so it can be compared across leagues honestly. The raw metrics cannot: a conference that plays itself twelve times has its schedule strength baked into every raw number, which is the single most common way conference comparisons go wrong.