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Which is the best college football conference in 2020?

Analysis

Every FBS team is a dot. Conference averages are not shown, and that is the point: the SEC’s mean is dragged up by four teams, the Big Ten’s spread is twice the Sun Belt’s, and a bar chart of means says none of it. What “compare the conferences” actually asks is how much of one league sits inside the other.

CORE overall · 2020

FBS medianFBS IndependentsBig 12Mid-AmericanPac-12Sun BeltMountain WestACCAmerican Athlet…SECBig TenConference USA

One dot per team, one tick per conference median. Leagues are ordered by median, and the mean is deliberately not shown — four teams drag it and it hides how far the two distributions overlap.

ConferenceTeamsMedianSpreadBest
FBS Independents412.627.2BYU 33.3
Big 12107.914.6Oklahoma 24.9
Mid-American85.316.5Buffalo 17.7
Pac-1264.015.2Oregon 14.9
Sun Belt103.623.6Coastal Carolina 17.2
Mountain West113.621.6Air Force 13.6
ACC142.49.8Clemson 28.8
American Athletic110.31019.6Cincinnati 23.4
SEC14-1.121.6Alabama 37.6
Big Ten13-3.513.4Ohio State 21.5
Conference USA11-12.09.9UAB 9.8

Two numbers, not one

Median answers “how good is this league”. Spread — the interquartile range — answers “how evenly good”, and it is usually the more interesting of the two. A league with a high median and a huge spread is four contenders and eight teams padding their records, which is exactly the shape that produces a conference champion who keeps losing in January.

Note which metric you are looking at. CORE is opponent-adjusted, so it can be compared across leagues honestly. The raw metrics cannot: a conference that plays itself twelve times has its schedule strength baked into every raw number, which is the single most common way conference comparisons go wrong.