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Which is the best college football conference in 2020?

Analysis

Every FBS team is a dot. Conference averages are not shown, and that is the point: the SEC’s mean is dragged up by four teams, the Big Ten’s spread is twice the Sun Belt’s, and a bar chart of means says none of it. What “compare the conferences” actually asks is how much of one league sits inside the other.

Points per drive allowed · 2020

FBS medianFBS IndependentsBig 12Sun BeltMountain WestPac-12Big TenSECAmerican Athlet…ACCMid-AmericanConference USA

One dot per team, one tick per conference median. Leagues are ordered by median, and the mean is deliberately not shown — four teams drag it and it hides how far the two distributions overlap.

ConferenceTeamsMedianSpreadBest
FBS Independents41.60.462BYU 1.4
Big 12101.90.698TCU 1.5
Sun Belt102.21.2App State 1.5
Mountain West102.21.1San Diego State 1.2
Pac-1252.30.546Colorado 2.1
Big Ten132.41.1Iowa 1.1
SEC142.40.763Alabama 1.6
American Athletic112.50.602Cincinnati 1.2
ACC142.50.362Clemson 1.5
Mid-American82.51.2Toledo 1.9
Conference USA112.81.6Marshall 1.4

Two numbers, not one

Median answers “how good is this league”. Spread — the interquartile range — answers “how evenly good”, and it is usually the more interesting of the two. A league with a high median and a huge spread is four contenders and eight teams padding their records, which is exactly the shape that produces a conference champion who keeps losing in January.

Note which metric you are looking at. CORE is opponent-adjusted, so it can be compared across leagues honestly. The raw metrics cannot: a conference that plays itself twelve times has its schedule strength baked into every raw number, which is the single most common way conference comparisons go wrong.