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SJSU
●
San José State
FINAL
10
–
55
Final
NEV
Nevada
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
T
SJSU
0
0
3
7
10
NEV
14
17
7
17
55
← Game
San José State at Nevada
2025 · Week 12 · Mackay Stadium
Replay mode · scrub the timeline
Win Probability — NEV (top) vs SJSU (bottom)
consensus
house model
Q2
Q3
Q4
NEV ▲
SJSU ▲
NEV 100%
50%
SJSU 100%
⏮
◀
▶
▶
⏭
Play
140
/ 140
1×
2×
4×
⧉ Share moment
Jump to
Kickoff
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Final
← → step · space play · drag chart to scrub
Drives — tap to jump
PUNT
SJSU
4p·2y
PUNT
NEV
4p·15y
TD
SJSU
7p·88y
FUM
SJSU
1p·5y
TD
NEV
5p·30y
PUNT
SJSU
4p·7y
TD
NEV
15p·92y
FUM
SJSU
3p·45y
TD
NEV
1p·13y
PUNT
SJSU
10p·40y
PUNT
NEV
7p·31y
—
SJSU
10p·55y
FG
NEV
3p·72y
MISS
NEV
8p·83y
FG
SJSU
7p·83y
TD
NEV
9p·75y
INT
SJSU
1p·0y
PUNT
NEV
4p·4y
PUNT
SJSU
7p·42y
TD
NEV
6p·65y
INT
SJSU
3p·12y
FG
NEV
8p·68y
TD
SJSU
8p·75y
TD
SJSU
1p·99y
—
SJSU
4p·14y
SJSU
10
–
55
NEV
FINAL
0%
100%
Win Probability
consensus
SJSU
0%
100%
NEV
House model
NEV 100%
Live Line
house price
Live spread
NEV -43.4
open +9.5
· ▼ 52.9
Proj. total
65
O/U 49.5
· OVER pace
Live moneyline
SJSU +9900
/
NEV -9900
Betting Read
model vs the number
Against the spread
NEV +9.5
SJSU 0%
100% NEV
Total
O/U 49.5
Over 100%
0% Under
Situation
FINAL
SJSU ball
1st & 10 · SJSU 37
NEV
SJSU
10
20
30
40
50
40
30
20
10
SJSU
Timeouts
NEV
End of 4th quarter.
Current Drive
#26
SJSU
from SJSU 25
4
plays
14
yards
-0.7
drive EPA
Leverage
this play
Win-prob added
+4.1
Swung to
NEV
SJSU
Momentum
NEV
Game tension index
VIX-style WP volatility
35
Live Efficiency
SJSU · NEV
567
Total yds
548
8.1
Yds/play
7.8
-0.06
EPA/play
+0.42
45%
Success %
53%
7
Explosive (20+)
8
5
Turnovers
0
Game Leaders
final
SJSU
passing
Walker Eget
11/23, 74 yds, 0 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Steve Chavez-Soto
8 car, 47 yds
receiving
Kyri Shoels
3 rec, 47 yds
NEV
passing
Carter Jones
16/19, 195 yds, 2 TD
rushing
Caleb Ramseur
20 car, 128 yds, 1 TD
receiving
Dakota Thomas
6 rec, 85 yds
Biggest Swings
where it turned
+20
Q1 9:24
(09:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 W.Eget pass intercepted by #0 N.Jackson at Nevada34 #0 N.Jackson return 66 yards to the SJSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:24 #84 J.McFadden kick attempt good (H: #39 B.Ettridge, LS: #51 C.Stack)
+13
Q4 1:10
(01:23) #99 M.Brown kickoff 64 yards to the Nevada01 #25 K.Woods return 99 yards to the SJSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:10 #84 J.McFadden kick attempt good (H: #39 B.Ettridge, LS: #51 C.Stack)
+11
Q1 6:20
(06:24) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short middle to #13 C.Purdy caught at SJSU10, for 7 yards to the SJSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:20 #84 J.McFadden kick attempt good (H: #39 B.Ettridge, LS: #51 C.Stack)
-9
Q4 2:13
(02:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 T.Amisone pass incomplete deep right to #1 L.Smith thrown to Nevada04
-8
Q4 1:23
(01:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 T.Amisone rush left for 12 yards gain to the Nevada00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:23, 1ST DOWN #48 D.Lynch kick attempt good (H: #46 M.Fadelli, LS: #44 A.Campos)
-6
Q1 10:20
(10:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 W.Eget pass incomplete short right to #10 D.Scudero thrown to Nevada32
Play Feed
tap to jump
Q4 0:00
-0.9 EPA
End of 4th quarter.
10-55
Q4 0:30
-0.9 EPA
(00:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #34 V.Teu rush left for 1 yard gain to the SJSU38 (#19 S.Cook)
10-55
Q4 0:32
+0.9 EPA
(00:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 T.Amisone rush left for 7 yards gain to the SJSU37 (#44 A.Harnetiaux), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
10-55
Q4 0:59
+0.1 EPA
(01:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #34 V.Teu rush middle for 5 yards gain to the SJSU30 (#44 A.Harnetiaux; #0 N.Jackson)
10-55
Q4 1:10
(01:23) #99 M.Brown kickoff 64 yards to the Nevada01 #25 K.Woods return 99 yards to the SJSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:10 #84 J.McFadden kick attempt good (H: #39 B.Ettridge, LS: #51 C.Stack)
10-55
Q4 1:23
+2.5 EPA
(01:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 T.Amisone rush left for 12 yards gain to the Nevada00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:23, 1ST DOWN #48 D.Lynch kick attempt good (H: #46 M.Fadelli, LS: #44 A.Campos)
10-48
Q4 1:50
+0.4 EPA
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 T.Amisone rush right for 6 yards gain to the Nevada12 (#17 Z.Abercrombie), 1ST DOWN
3-48
